Congress will win 126 seats in the 2018 Karnataka Elections: Survey

A Pre-poll survey conducted by C-Fore between March 1st to 25th predicts Congress will not only return to power in 2018 but will also better it’s 2013 tally.

The survey commissioned by the Congress spoke to 22,357 voters across 154 assembly constituencies. The respondents of the survey were spread across 2,368 polling stations covering 326 urban and 977 rural locations. C-Fore said it had a margin error of 1 percentage point.

The survey, in 2013, had predicted that the Congress would win 119-120 seats and it ended up winning 122 seats in 256 assembly constituencies. According to the survey, in 2018, the Congress will improve its vote share by 9% and end up with 46% of the vote, BJP will have 31% of the vote and JD(S) will have 16%.

The pre-poll survey report by C-Fore:

Opinion Poll by C-Fore
PartySeats( % )

Congress

12656.5%

BJP

7031.4%

JDS

2712.1%

Here is the probable percentage of votes categorized based on Gender:

Party

Men Respondents

Women Respondents

Congress

44%

48%

BJP

33%

29%

JD(S)

17%

14%

Others

8%

8%

Congress leads among voters in all age groups, which include 18-25 (46%), 26-35 (47%), 36-50 (43%) and 50+ (50%).

Who wins where?

Constituency

Congress

BJP

JD(S)

Old Mysuru

33

7

24

Bombay Karnataka

28

22

– 

Central Karnataka

9

13

Hyderabad-Karnataka

27

10

3

Bengaluru

19

9

 –

The Biggest Issue:

In Karnataka, access to clean drinking water has emerged as the biggest problem the people are facing. 32% people have ranked it as their top-ranked problem, 26% said it was their second-biggest problem and 9% said it was the third-biggest problem. Other major problems included an inadequate drainage system and bad roads.

Also Read  Karnataka Elections 2018 Opinion Poll - Latest Polls [Updated]

The Most Popular CM:

CM Siddaramaiah was voted the most popular choice for Chief Minister in the state. An overwhelming 45% people said he was their first preference. 26% said their first preference was BJP’s BS Yeddyurappa and only around 13% preferred HD Kumaraswamy. 16% preferred ‘others’.

When asked about the performance of CM, 21% respondents said they were ‘extremely satisfied’, 54% said they were ‘somewhat satisfied’ and 25% said they were ‘not satisfied’.

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